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Intelligence

Industry Pulse

Every figure on this page survived adversarial verification against its cited source. This is the data your next five years of decisions rest on — case mix, case volume, disposition law, and what non-compliance actually costs.

63.4%
2025 cremation rate (NFDA proj.)
14
states where composting is legal
$1.11M
restitution in Michigan’s Kaufman case
2027
paper death certificates end in MI (Mar 16)
U.S. cremation rate% of dispositions
56.1%61.8%67.9% proj.20202029

Every point of cremation share moves revenue mix away from full-service burial — model your case mix against the curve, not last year.

Source: CANA (2024 measured) · NFDA 2025 Cremation & Burial Report (2025 projection) · Mordor Intelligence (2029 estimate)

U.S. deaths per yearregistered deaths
2.85M3.09M3.07M proj.20192024

Case volume is normalizing post-pandemic — 2024 fell ~0.6% and the age-adjusted rate is the lowest since 2020. Plan for flat-to-down volume before the boomer wave.

Source: CDC/NCHS Vital Statistics (2024 provisional)

States where human composting is legalstates
11420192025

Legalization is compounding — and Maryland showed an ~18-month lag from legal to operational rules. Michigan has no bill yet; Ohio introduced one in Nov 2025.

Source: Recompose / Earth Funeral legislative trackers, verified per state (WA 2019 → NJ #14, Sept 2025)

Why members see this first

Trade press reports what happened. The Pulse tells you what it costs — and what to do before the deadline.

Weekly digest, bill-by-bill tracking, CE compliance, and this ledger — curated by humans, verified against primary sources.

Join the founding 150

The enforcement ledger

2025–26 · verified cases

What regulators and prosecutors actually did — and what it cost the operators involved. Every entry links to the primary document.

  1. May 11, 2026

    Michigan · Huron County

    Kaufman & Co. Funeral Home — preneed funds never escrowed for a decade

    85–240 months · 39 felonies incl. Conducting a Criminal Enterprise

    primary source

    $1.11M

    restitution to 204 victims

  2. Jun 27, 2025

    Colorado · federal

    Return to Nature Funeral Home — 190 bodies never cremated or buried

    240 months federal prison (co-owner: 18 years, March 2026)

    primary source

    $1.07M

    restitution

  3. May 29, 2025

    Texas · state board

    Texas Funeral Service Commission enforcement docket — investigations, C&Ds, closure

    Golden Gate FH investigation · Nassiri body-broker C&D · Richardson Mortuary closure

    primary source
  4. Jan 29, 2026

    Illinois · legislature

    Illinois HB 4695 (pending) — crematory accountability after Chicago Heights

    30-day notice trigger · 60-day cremation deadline · mandatory SOPs

    primary source

    $10,000

    max fine per violation (proposed)

Who's buying deathcare

2024–26 · named deals

The consolidation wave, deal by deal. Nearly half of owners plan to retire by 2028 — whoever is buying your market is worth knowing before they call.

  1. Jan 2026

    Michigan

    O’Brien-Sullivan Funeral Home, Novi — sold after 128 years of family ownership

    John P. O’Brien → Rollings Funeral Service (GA)

    Founded 1898; name retained under the new owner. Valuation undisclosed.

    source
  2. Aug 2024

    Park Lawn Corp. taken private

    Homesteaders Life / Birch Hill (via Viridian)

    ≈C$1.2B for ~170 locations — after divesting 72 cemeteries and 11 funeral homes to Everstory Partners (~$70M, late 2023).

    source

    ~$871M

    deal value

  3. Dec 2024

    SCI keeps buying

    Service Corporation International

    26 funeral properties + 6 cemeteries acquired in 2024; $71M more in real estate through Q3 2025.

    source

    $181M

    deal value

  4. Feb 2026

    The new roll-ups arrive

    Milestone Funeral Partners · Big Sky Capital Partners

    Milestone: 0 → 90 firms since 2021 (36 of 39 shareholders are licensed directors). Big Sky: 10+ properties, 10 in talks. Engine: nearly half of owners plan to retire by 2028 (NFDA 2023 survey).

    source

The labor market

BLS May 2025
$60,660
mean mortician wage in Michigan (810 employed) — above the $58,160 national mean
5,800
projected openings per year through 2034 — mostly replacement-driven
$76,830
median funeral-home manager pay vs $49,800 for morticians
51 : 100
licensed directors per open position in Minnesota (industry testimony)

Source: BLS OEWS May 2025 (SOC 39-4031) · BLS OOH · MN House testimony

+$100 on a median casket

Steel tariffs rose 25% → 50% in 2025 and an April 2026 decree added a 25% coffin-specific tariff — U.S. casket prices are up ~4.5% in 15 months (Fed/FRED price data).

Progressive Policy Institute analysis of FRED data

Methodology: figures verified via multi-source adversarial review (see docs/research in the project archive) · projections attributed to their estimator and rendered dashed · updated 2026-07-06.

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